Will I forget my towel (or another essential item) when going to the gym again in 2024?
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Plus
20
Ṁ2431
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO

I forgot my towel for the second time this year today when I went to the gym. To help me avoid this, I'm creating this market.

I will not bet on this market.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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A towel is just about the most massively useful thing an interstellar hitchhiker can carry. Partly because it has great practical value. You can wrap it around you for warmth as you bound across the cold moons of Jaglan Beta; you can lie on it on the brilliant marble-sanded beaches of Santraginus V, inhaling the heady sea vapours; you can sleep under it beneath the stars which shine so redly on the desert world of Kakrafoon; use it to sail a miniraft down the slow heavy River Moth; wet it for use in hand-to-hand combat; wrap it around your head to ward off noxious fumes or avoid the gaze of the Ravenous Bugblatter Beast of Traal (a mind-bogglingly stupid animal, it assumes that if you can't see it, it can't see you — daft as a brush, but very very ravenous); you can wave your towel in emergencies as a distress signal, and of course you can dry yourself off with it if it still seems to be clean enough.

More importantly, a towel has immense psychological value. For some reason, if a strag discovers that a hitchhiker has his towel with him, he will automatically assume that he is also in possession of a toothbrush, washcloth, soap, tin of biscuits, flask, compass, map, ball of string, gnat spray, wet-weather gear, space suit etc., etc. Furthermore, the strag will then happily lend the hitchhiker any of these or a dozen other items that the hitchhiker might accidentally have "lost." What the strag will think is that any man who can hitch the length and breadth of the Galaxy, rough it, slum it, struggle against terrible odds, win through and still knows where his towel is, is clearly a man to be reckoned with.

Hence a phrase which has passed into hitch hiking slang, as in "Hey, you sass that hoopy Ford Prefect? There's a frood who really knows where his towel is."

https://hitchhikers.fandom.com/wiki/Towel

Today you too have achieved this great feat 🫡

bought Ṁ50 NO

You've escaped the "infant mortality" failure zone. I'll chip in a sizable NO bet given this.

You're taking a risk here, but 70-85% seems like a realistic range to me. These things just happen to me regularly. Today I forgot my swimming trunks at the gym. That's not what this market is about, it's about avoiding going there for nothing, but still...

I understand the risks. I believe in the power of habit forming. 🙂

bought Ṁ25 NO

So far so good. Home stretch. That being said, a notable portion of my portfolio now rests on the fate of a towel. Let's see if my faith in habits was well placed.

"A towel, [The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy] says, is about the most massively useful thing an interstellar hitchhiker can have."

This is off to a good start... I have already forgotten non-essential items today, less than 24h after starting this market. I forgot to pack fresh socks and a T-shirt to change into after training. By the way, I once had an ADD diagnosis, inattentive type. I don't have it anymore, at least on paper.

I'll do my best though.

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