I use markets like this as commitment devices. It generally works very well. A similar market which ran for a month, with stricter rules, was resolved YES recently.

Two rules apply:

• if I don't spend the day at home, that day doesn't count

• Joker rule: If I clean for 45 minutes, I collect a joker, which can be used to skip a day in the future. I can collect multiple jokers on a single day.

I will not bet on this market.