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MANIFOLD
Will the WTI crude oil spot price close above $100 on May 1, 2026?
0
Ṁ100
May 6
65%
chance

Resolves YES if the official WTI crude oil spot price (West Texas Intermediate, Cushing, Oklahoma) closes above $100.00 per barrel on May 1, 2026. Source of truth: FRED DCOILWTICO series (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DCOILWTICO) or EIA daily oil prices. The value used will be the official daily closing price for the trading day of May 1, 2026. Resolves NO if the price is $100.00 or below on May 1, 2026. Context: As of April 14, 2026, WTI is trading at approximately $104/barrel following the US naval blockade of Iranian ports initiated April 13, 2026. Resolves based on mechanical EIA/FRED data. If I am unable to resolve, I will request Manifold mod resolution.

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