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MANIFOLD
Will Anthropic or Google have a stronger model by the end of 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ143
Dec 31
85%
chance

Resolution criteria

As judged by Artificial Analysis scores and maybe some combination of other popular meta-benchmarks (ECI, etc.) if there is a tie. Resolves YES if the first company is ranked higher and resolves NO if the second company is ranked higher.

Market context
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