Bitcoin above $97K on May 7?
150
1kṀ86k
resolved May 7
Resolved
YES

Resolution Criteria:

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of Bitcoin reaches or exceeds $97,000 at any point between 00:00 AM and 23:59 PM PT on May 7, 2025.

The market will resolve to “No” if Bitcoin does not reach or exceed this price level during the specified time frame.

Resolution Source:

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Coinbase BTC/USD price. In the event of any discrepancies or outages, data from Kraken and Bitstamp may be used as secondary sources to verify the price.

Additional Notes:

• Only the price recorded within the exact time window (00:00 AM - 23:59 PM PT) on May 7, 2025 will count towards resolution.

• If Bitcoin exceeds $97,000 outside of this time frame, it will not influence the market outcome.

• This market will resolve immediately if the criteria are met, without waiting until the end of the day.

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Resolving it to YES if no one has any objection.

opened a Ṁ10,000 YES at 99.0% order

@predyx_markets yup! hit on my screen

opened a Ṁ99 YES at 99.0% order
boughtṀ1,000YES

@brod hah got distracted commenting lol

bought Ṁ250 YES

rare bold directional position from @deagol

@brod He's pro.

@brod really? again my flawed rough model says >100%. i got all day for like 30 basis points? i'll still sleep soundly if it doesn't hit it in next hour.

bought Ṁ20 NO

@deagol >100% is bold 😄. i meant it seems like you’re normally arbing not going big on one side

sold Ṁ614 YES

@brod haha right, well there's nothing to arb this one against, and it seems done, to me anyway

bought Ṁ600 YES

@deagol fwiw black scholes with 60% volatility says it should be around 95%

sold Ṁ1 YES

@brod i guess i can now model the barrier as 2x normal, but no time for that lol

@brod so i think 60% annual vol is >3% daily? all i need is 0.2%

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