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MANIFOLD
Which women's tennis players will reach the 2026 U.S. Open Semifinals?
29
αΉ€1.7kαΉ€35k
resolved Sep 9
Resolved
NO
πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί D. Shnaider
Resolved
NO
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ K. Muchova
Resolved
NO
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ E. Svitolina
Resolved
NO
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ A. Anisimova
Resolved
NO
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ M. Keys
Resolved
NO
πŸ‡΅πŸ‡­ A. Eala
Resolved
NO
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ M. Kostyuk
Resolved
NO
πŸ‡·πŸ‡΄ S. Cirstea
Resolved
NO
πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± I. Swiatek
Resolved
NO
πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ N. Osaka
Resolved
YES
πŸ‡§πŸ‡Ύ A. Sabalenka
Resolved
NO
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ L. Noskova
Resolved
YES
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ J. Pegula
Resolved
YES
πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ E. Rybakina
Resolved
NO
Other (Any Player Not Listed Above)
Resolved
YES
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ C. Gauff
Resolved
NO
πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί M. Andreeva

Resolution criteria

Each of the listed players resolves YES if that player appears as one of the four semifinalists in the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles main draw; players resolve NO otherwise. Verification: the official U.S. Open women's singles draw/results page or PDF and/or the WTA tournament page. Links:

"Other (Any Player Not Listed Above)" resolves YES if at least one of the four semifinalists is not among the named answers; resolves NO if all four semifinalists are from the listed options. For clarity's sake, those listed players are:

  • πŸ‡§πŸ‡Ύ A. Sabalenka

  • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ C. Gauff

  • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ J. Pegula

  • πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ E. Rybakina

  • πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± I. Swiatek

  • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ E. Svitolina

  • πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί M. Andreeva

  • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ M. Kostyuk

  • πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ K. Muchova

  • πŸ‡΅πŸ‡­ A. Eala

  • πŸ‡·πŸ‡΄ S. Cirstea

  • πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ L. Noskova

  • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ A. Anisimova

  • πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ N. Osaka

  • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ M. Keys

  • πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί D. Shnaider

Edge cases: for any players that do not appear in the main draw (withdrawing prior to the tournament for any reason), those players will resolve N/A. If a player plays at least one point in a main draw match, however, and THEN has to retire due to injury before the semifinals, that player will resolve NO. If a player retires during the semifinal matches, that makes no difference to this market. As market creator, I reserve the right to N/A if there is some sort of unforeseen extraordinary circumstance.

Background

Event dates: August 30 – September 13, 2026. Women's semifinals are scheduled for Thu, Sep 10.

Considerations

Only the Women's Singles main draw counts for the purpose of this market (not doubles, mixed, or juniors).

Market context
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