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MANIFOLD
Bitcoin price below 100,000 by August 25, 2025 (Beijing time)?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ10
resolved Aug 25
Resolved
NO

Resolution criteria

  • Resolves YES if the BTC/USD spot price is strictly below $100,000.00 at 2025-08-25 23:59:59 Beijing Time (UTC+08:00). Resolves NO otherwise. Exact equality ($100,000.00) resolves NO. (en.wikipedia.org)

  • Price source: median of the three values at that timestamp from:

    1. CoinMarketCap’s Bitcoin page, 2) CoinGecko’s Bitcoin page, and 3) Yahoo Finance’s BTC-USD interactive chart. If one source is unavailable or clearly stale, use the remaining two; if only one is available, use that. Use the latest tick at or immediately before 23:59:59 BJT if minute-by-minute display is limited. (coinmarketcap.com, coingecko.com, finance.yahoo.com)

  • Timestamp equivalence for verification: 2025-08-25 15:59:59 UTC = 23:59:59 BJT. (en.wikipedia.org)

Background

  • Beijing Time is China Standard Time (UTC+8) and does not observe daylight saving. (en.wikipedia.org)

  • For context, around August 25, 2025, BTC has been trading near ~$112k, with an all‑time high near ~$124k on August 14, 2025, per CoinMarketCap. (coinmarketcap.com)

Considerations

  • Different venues can display slightly different real‑time prices; using the median of CMC, CoinGecko, and Yahoo reduces single‑source anomalies. (coinmarketcap.com, coingecko.com, finance.yahoo.com)

  • Ensure you view prices in USD. Stablecoin pairs (e.g., BTC/USDT) may deviate briefly from $1; the specified sources report USD-converted spot prices. (coinmarketcap.com, coingecko.com)

Market context
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