1

Will Donald Trump be arrested by the end of April?

39

resolved Apr 12

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

ALL

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1	Marcus Abramovitch	Ṁ260
2	eendenlip	Ṁ122
3	Martin Randall	Ṁ100
4	Gigacasting	Ṁ83
5	Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot	Ṁ62

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Isaacpredicted YES at 99.8%

@DavidChee This creator has been inactive for >2 weeks, and unambiguous resolution criteria have been met. I can't resolve this since it's still open, any chance you could take care of it?

Jackpredicted YES at 99.7%

@pedromonteiro please resolve

Mustangbought Ṁ10 of NO

@jack if he hits no the site will be destroyed. The existence of manifold hangs in the balance

eendenlipbought Ṁ100 of YES

He's arrested

Martin Randallpredicted YES at 81%

What is the definition of "arrested" for this market?

Shrewdsunpredicted NO at 91%

If he surrenders then that shouldn’t be considered arrested.

An arrest happens if he fails to surrender

@Shrewdsun Disagree, that's still arrest by most definitions.

t

@Shrewdsun im imagining the planet you live on

Marcus Abramovitch bought Ṁ10,000 YES from 99.5% to 99.8%

evergreen sold Ṁ9 YES from 99.6% to 99.5%

Marcus Abramovitch bought Ṁ6,000 YES from 99.0% to 99.6%

Snazzah bought Ṁ10 YES at 99.0%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 99.0%

Marcus Abramovitch bought Ṁ3,500 YES from 97% to 99.0%

Théo Négri bought Ṁ100 NO from 99.5% to 97%

Don Key bought Ṁ100 YES at 99.5%

darkscissors bought Ṁ10 NO from 99.6% to 99.5%

Derik K sold Ṁ68 YES at 99.6%

Mark Ingraham bought Ṁ5 NO from 99.7% to 99.6%

Mustang bought Ṁ10 NO at 99.7%

eendenlip sold Ṁ672 YES at 99.7%

Marcus Abramovitch bought Ṁ7,500 YES from 99.6% to 99.7%

Marcus Abramovitch bought Ṁ5,000 YES from 99.1% to 99.6%

Aaron Lehmann sold Ṁ100 YES from 99.2% to 99.1%

Aaron Lehmann bought Ṁ100 YES from 99.1% to 99.2%

Jake sold Ṁ484 YES from 99.2% to 99.1%

Marcus Abramovitch bought Ṁ2,500 YES from 98.7% to 99.2%

Super Nukey bought Ṁ10 YES at 98.7%

naviman bought Ṁ10 NO from 98.9% to 98.7%

naviman bought Ṁ29 NO from 99.4% to 98.9%

Peter Berggren bought Ṁ10 YES at 99.4%

Mike Green bought Ṁ10 YES at 99.4%

Phillip Mast sold Ṁ134 YES at 99.4%

evergreen bought Ṁ50 YES at 99.4%

Marcus Abramovitch bought Ṁ5,000 YES from 98.4% to 99.4%

Isaac bought Ṁ1,000 YES from 98% to 98.4%

Gigacasting bought Ṁ950 YES from 96% to 98%

Jonathan Ray bought Ṁ100 YES at 96%

Jack bought Ṁ500 YES from 94% to 96%

Ivan sold Ṁ15 YES at 94%

Ivan bought Ṁ15 YES at 94%

Jake bought Ṁ400 YES from 90% to 94%

Jake bought Ṁ50 YES at 90%

eendenlip bought Ṁ100 YES from 88% to 90%

Gigacasting bought Ṁ50 YES from 87% to 88%

Gigacasting bought Ṁ100 YES from 85% to 87%

Gigacasting bought Ṁ70 YES from 83% to 85%

Gigacasting bought Ṁ75 YES from 80% to 83%

Reynolds bought Ṁ10 YES from 79% to 80%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ42/Ṁ42 NO at 79%

eendenlip bought Ṁ350 YES from 70% to 87%

Jack bought Ṁ50 YES from 65% to 70%

Nico D sold Ṁ9 YES from 66% to 65%

Martin Randall sold Ṁ145 YES from 78% to 66%

Martin Randall sold Ṁ54 YES from 81% to 78%

Fedor bought Ṁ10 NO from 83% to 81%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ10 NO at 83% (cancelled)

Jason Nichols bought Ṁ100 YES from 80% to 84%

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