Through a press release or NYT / WAPO / WSJ, if Worldcoin reports having signed up a billion users before Jan. 1, 2026, this will resolve Yes then. Otherwise, this will resolve No on Jan. 1, 2026. If there is any dispute or doubt about the company claim being true, this will still resolve Yes as this market is not specifically concerned with deception.
1,000
3.00This should be 0, IMO. But, I don’t want to lock up my mana for 1.5 years.
Worldcoin has migrated to a new system that does not store iris codes (variation of n-way one time pad using hamming distances between the split data .. compared against (I believe) the entire database? — seems very expensive computationally and I wonder how it could scale to 1000x people). Looks like it should alleviate some of the privacy concerns surrounding biometrics being leaked.
Argentina probing worldcoin:
https://technext24.com/2023/08/11/argentina-after-worldcoin-crypto-roundup/
Unverified users can now reserve tokens for up to a year:
https://cointelegraph.com/news/worldcoin-wld-reservations-unverified-users
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A billion is extremely ambitious. Here's a nearer-term market that hints at future growth (active orbs ~= derivative of # of world IDs):
https://manifold.markets/VitorBosshard/will-worldcoin-have-1000-active-orb?r=Vml0b3JCb3NzaGFyZA
UK enquiry + worldcoin not for US (yet)
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“Something like World ID will eventually exist, meaning that you will need to verify [you are human] on the internet, whether you like it or not,” Blania said.
https://reclaimthenet.org/world-id-whether-you-like-it-or-not
Sam Altman’s Worldcoin passes 2M sign-ups after months of touring
Worldcoin surpassed two million sign-ups to World ID in less than half the time it took to reach one million.
https://cointelegraph.com/news/sam-altman-worldcoin-world-id-two-million-sign-ups
https://businessblockchainhq.com/business-blockchain-news/chatgpt-founders-worldcoin-sees-unprecedented-growth-in-spain-with-ai-boom/
"Spain has become Worldcoin’s biggest operating market in Europe, according to a recent tweet of Worldcoin. The tweet claimed that more than 20,000 individuals join up for World ID, Worldcoin’s proof-of-personhood mechanism that protects anonymity, each month."
