Resolution source: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2026/ Subtropical storm also counts. Resolves to the UTC time written in the advisory text. N/A if does not form in 2026. Will add days to the answers as needed.

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, August 11, followed by August 12 and August 13 are most likely. See the market for live updates (0 traders, as of Aug 11, 2026).

When will Tropical Storm Lala form? (CP)

As discussed in the TWO, Hawaii should pay attention to the development of CP93... Google/18Z also shows a decent chance of it developing and having some impact on Hawaii (half of the members directly landfalling as a TS, more than a quarter as a hurricane):

Central Pacific (CP93):
Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with a
broad area of low pressure located about 1100 miles east-southeast
of the Hawaiian Islands that is nearly stationary.  Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development, and
a tropical depression or storm is expected to form during the middle
portion of this week as the system begins moving generally
northwestward across the Central Pacific.  Interests in the Hawaiian
Islands should closely monitor the progress of the system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

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