Any significant cloud or internet service/platform outage before January 2 2026?
5
100Ṁ262
Jan 1
8%
chance

Will any major cloud, online infrastructure provider, or online service with >100M monthly active users suffer from a major outage or service degradation between now (December 29 11am PT) and January 2nd?

Examples: AWS/GCP/Azure, Cloudflare, ChatGPT, Youtube, X/Twitter, Discord, Steam, Paypal.

Major outage = officially degraded or down for >= 60 minutes, causing significant disruption to services.

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