Will Ted Cruz win the 2024 US Senate election in Texas?
184
1kṀ120kresolved Nov 6
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Ted Cruz wins the Texas Senate election in November 2024, and NO otherwise. In particular, if Ted Cruz does not run for reelection, this market will resolve NO (after the relevant filing deadline has passed).
This market applies only to the seat currently held by Ted Cruz and not any other Senate seat.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@octothorpe The NYTimes has called this for Cruz: Texas U.S. Senate Election Results 2024: Cruz vs. Allred - The New York Times
opened aṀ150NO at 25% order
"I’m going to give Allred a 30% chance of pulling off the upset"
You post 30% but bet 75%?