Will just paying people to lose weight be more effective than paying people to exercise and join, e.g., weightwatchers?
22
101Ṁ352resolved Mar 21
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The question resolves to yes if the 'outcome based' group has a greater weight proportion with >5% loss at six months than the 'goal-directed group' and no if the 'goal-directed group' had a greater loss.
Outcome-based group: can earn up to $750 by losing weight over 6 months.
Goal-directed group: can earn up to $750 by wearing a Fitbit and doing exercise, joining and participating in weight watchers etc over 6 months.
If the difference is not statistically significant, resolves to NA.
Sample: 668 obese adults, randomised to 3 groups (control group excluded from this question).
Trial details: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03157713
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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