The action must be explicitly in response to the death of the 3 US troops.
This market will close 12:00 AM EST March 1st.
Resolution specifics:
Direct strike against Iran - any attack within Iran's borders against a government/Iranian military facility.
Direct strike against Iranian proxy groups - any attack anywhere on Houthis/Hezbollah/any proxy affiliate of Iran or a group that Iran has provided support for
Killing a senior military official - the assassination of an Iranian military official anywhere
Sanctions - economic/geopolitical restrictions imposed
No response - none of the above
For all markets, the action must be directly in response to the death of US troops in Jordan.
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ194 | |
| 2 | Ṁ175 | |
| 3 | Ṁ99 | |
| 4 | Ṁ90 | |
| 5 | Ṁ64 |
@mich You still need to resolve the remaining two answers to NO. Or are there any uncertainties left?
@mich Sanctions can be resolved YES.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/02/us/politics/us-iran-sanctions-charges.html
Unfortunately this isn't covered by the answers.
"Biden has approved plans for multiday strikes in Iraq and Syria against multiple targets, including Iranian personnel and facilities, according to U.S. officials. But the response, expected to begin as soon as this weekend, will be “tiered,” mixing military actions with other steps that can be adjusted to signal that Washington doesn’t seek further escalation."
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/shadow-war-with-iran-risks-turning-into-a-direct-conflict-6b8eddd9