3
Will there be a manalink in the comments with at least one unclaimed M$20 charge at the closing of this market?
26
resolved May 24
Resolved
NO

The comment with the manalink has to be at least 15 minutes old when the market closes for it to count.

The exact hour of closing on wednesday might change since I need to be free when it happens. If I change the closing time, I'll leave at least 4 hours between the time of change and the new closing time.

Experimental. Feel free to ask for clarifications.

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memestiny avatar
memestinypredicted YES

New market: https://manifold.markets/memestiny/will-there-be-a-manalink-in-the-com-ea224ef14759

Will there be a manalink in the comments with at least one unclaimed M$10 charge at the closing of this market?
Will there be a manalink in the comments with at least one unclaimed M$10 charge at the closing of this market?
53% chance. The comment with the manalink has to be at least 20 minutes old when the market closes for it to count. The exact hour of closing on Sunday might change since I need to be free when it happens. If I change the closing time, I’ll leave at least 4 hours between the time of change and the…
TobyBW avatar
TobyBWbought Ṁ1,000 of NO

The comment with the 20 mana manalink was posted at 08:44:04 PM UTC and this market closed at 08:59:00 PM UTC. The comment was not 15 minutes old at time of close. https://manifold.markets/memestiny/will-there-be-a-manalink-in-the-com#Srne90nAD0rcyc5rvqyZ

TobyBW avatar
TobyBWpredicted NO at 44%

All links posted before 8:44:00 PM UTC had only 1 mana and not 20.

TobyBW avatar
TobyBWpredicted NO at 44%

Therefore, this market resolves NO.

TobyBW avatar
TobyBWpredicted NO at 44%
memestiny avatar
memestinypredicted YES at 44%

@TobyBW This is true. Does anyone have any arguments against this?

Fedor avatar
Fedorbought Ṁ10 of YES

@TobyBW I hate to agree with that, but it seems reasonable as I was just double checking that.

memestiny avatar
memestinypredicted YES at 10%

@memestiny I will solve this market as "NO" in 15 minutes if there are no arguments against this.

ShadowyZephyr avatar
ShadowyZephyrpredicted YES at 10%

@memestiny TIL you can see the exact comment date on Manifold

ChristopherRandles avatar
Christopher Randlessold Ṁ31 of NO

@ShadowyZephyr but should it resolve n/a for breaking rules of a market that creates spam?

ShadowyZephyr avatar
ShadowyZephyrpredicted YES at 10%

@ChristopherRandles Someone pull up the rules on spam. I think this blurs the line, because it doesn't encourage needless comments explicitly, but at the same time because of memestiny's commenting it does, let me view the rules

TobyBW avatar
TobyBWpredicted NO at 10%

Also I don’t really mind being spammed free mana

ShadowyZephyr avatar
ShadowyZephyrpredicted YES at 10% (edited)

@TobyBW Types of content subject to N/A or deletion just says "Spam." that's fairly vague

Oh also: "Markets encouraging or incentivizing users to trade, comment, like, or post content indiscriminately"

could count because manalinks?? but idk it doesn't seem that bad??

memestiny avatar
memestinypredicted YES at 10% (edited)

I guess I can wait for admins to decide whether cheap manalinks are considered indiscriminate commenting / spam.

memestiny avatar
memestinypredicted YES at 10%
memestiny avatar
memestinypredicted YES at 10% (edited)

.

JamesGrugett avatar
James

@memestiny Seems like it could count as spam, but if it's manalinks posted just in this market, and there's not thousands of comments that are slowing down the site, then it should be fine.

ShadowyZephyr avatar
ShadowyZephyrpredicted YES at 10% (edited)

@JamesGrugett Well that's vague wording. that's like Half N/A Half NO, XD

Argument for N/A would be that even though there weren't thousands of comments, there probably would have been if the market got more traction

TobyBW avatar
TobyBWpredicted NO at 10%

@ShadowyZephyr I think the takeaway is “no real harm, so the spamming is fine and the market is ok”

Austin avatar
Austin

I'm not going to issue a general ruling about spam/commenting at this moment, but I want to make a few points about things that have annoyed me recently:

  • Please don't indiscriminately ping admins, either through Manifold or on Discord

  • Generally, @DavidChee, our community manager, should be your first line of contact for community moderation questions

  • Appealing to admins to try and get a market resolved in your favor is bad form. I'm not sure if that's what's happening here, but if so... don't do that.

We want Manifold to be a fun place including space for experimental/weird markets, but also we (as admins) don't want to be dragged into moderation decisions all the time. More time resolving random disputes is less time for us to actually work on making the Manifold platform better.

ShadowyZephyr avatar
ShadowyZephyrpredicted YES at 10% (edited)

Ok. Although we are biased by our bets in what we want, we never asked for you to give a specific resolution. And I didn't know about what goes to who or the fact that you guys don't want to be pinged, so I'm sorry about that

memestiny avatar
memestinypredicted YES at 10%

Ok, nothing seems to have been against the rules, so I'm resolving the market according to its original description.

memestiny avatar
memestinypredicted YES

@memestiny (And apologies for the pinging)

DavidChee avatar
SirSalty

@memestiny np just ping ME only (but try to avoid creating fun markets that you could forsee requiring input from admins in general).

ShadowyZephyr avatar
ShadowyZephyrbought Ṁ30 of YES
TobyBW avatar
TobyBWbought Ṁ1,000 of NO(edited)

@memestiny please do not resolve immediately after closing. I have an argument to make that is worth saving until after close.

memestiny avatar
memestinypredicted YES at 44%

@TobyBW I won't

ShadowyZephyr avatar
ShadowyZephyrsold Ṁ153 of NO(edited)

Sold at 8% and made an additional 30 mana off these. will probably still resolve NO but 8%, I can't pass that up

memestiny avatar
memestinypredicted YES at 32%

https://manifold.markets/link/PiYfU3J9

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memestiny avatar
memestinypredicted YES at 32%
memestiny avatar
memestinypredicted YES at 32%
memestiny avatar
memestinypredicted YES at 32%

https://manifold.markets/link/Omsgao8J

Manifold Markets
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Create your own prediction market. Unfold the future.
memestiny avatar
memestinypredicted YES at 32%

https://manifold.markets/link/20dKoS41

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Create your own prediction market. Unfold the future.
TobyBW avatar
TobyBWbought Ṁ40 of NO
ShadowyZephyr avatar
ShadowyZephyrpredicted NO at 32% (edited)

nvm

memestiny avatar
memestinypredicted YES at 32%

https://manifold.markets/link/D8JzNPYQ

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ShadowyZephyr avatar
ShadowyZephyrpredicted NO at 32%

@memestiny not M$20

memestiny avatar
memestinypredicted YES at 32%

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