How many dollar store popsicles will I eat in Pecos, NM this weekend?
3
175Ṁ95
Jun 30
20.5 popsicles
expected
66%
Above 0
50%
Above 1
50%
Above 2
50%
Above 4
50%
Above 8
50%
Above 16
40%
Above 32

I’m in Pecos, NM with my family this weekend. I may eat popsicles from a dollar store. There are currently three in the freezer. There are two dollar stores a short drive from where we’re staying. My family knows I’m making this question, and they might think it’s funny to egg me on. Possibly they’ll think it’s funnier to deny me popsicles, but they probably wouldn’t try very hard.

This market will resolve to the (threshold) number of popsicles I eat before I leave on Sunday. Only popsicles from the dollar store will be counted. As I’m writing this, I have eaten zero.

I will not bet on this market.

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