Will Joe Biden get under 88% of the vote in any of these states in the 2024 Democratic Primary?
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13
12k
resolved Jul 25
Resolved
YES
Louisiana
Resolved
YES
Missouri
Resolved
YES
Connecticut
Resolved
YES
Rhode Island
Resolved
NO
Wisconsin
Resolved
NO
Wyoming (Caucus)
Resolved
NO
Indiana
Resolved
YES
West Virginia
Resolved
YES
Kentucky
Resolved
NO
Idaho (Caucus)
Resolved
NO
Montana
Resolved
YES
New Mexico
Resolved
YES
South Dakota
Resolved
NO
New York
Resolved
NO
Nebraska
Resolved
NO
Alaska (Caucus)
Resolved
NO
Pennsylvania
Resolved
NO
New Jersey
Resolved
NO
North Dakota
Resolved
YES
Maryland

Each one resolves to YES if Joe Biden gets under 88% of the vote. If he gets 88% or more it resolves as NO and if the primary/caucus is not held or results are not available it will resolve as N/A

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Shouldn't this resolve? What kind of information are we waiting for?

bought Ṁ294 Nebraska NO
New York

Wikipedia lists this as 80.7%: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_New_York_Democratic_presidential_primary

Other sources say 90.5%: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/04/02/us/elections/results-new-york-democratic-presidential-primary.html

I think it's because Wikipedia is counting blank ballots, and other sources aren't? Would be nice to get the creator's input on this @mb

Reading the talk section of the wikipedia page makes me think that the blank ballots should not be counted so I will wait on resolving this one

to clarify, are we waiting on information that's going to be released in the future?

@mb I think this should be No, Wikipedia people don't have any more info than we do and imo it's a bit ridiculous to count blank ballots as its own category, if that were the case then a ton of downballot races would be won by "blank votes"

@mb @mods Can this resolve?

sold Ṁ280 New York YES

@MartinModrak Is the creator inactive?

Not completely inactive - not sure what the criteria for mod resolution are.... Maybe I am just inpatient...

@MartinModrak


Ping them and wait out of courtesy.
If there is definitive proof posted for any of them, after a few days of no response from creator, I would happily resolve them as I am sure other mods would also.

bought Ṁ50 Wyoming (Caucus) NO

This should resolve...