I'll search for current Bitcoin price information and context to help create this market description.#### Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Bitcoin (BTC) closes at or above $130,000 USD at any point during November 2025. Resolution will be determined using the closing price from major cryptocurrency exchanges tracked on CoinMarketCap or CoinGecko. The market resolves NO if Bitcoin fails to reach $130,000 by November 30, 2025, 23:59 UTC.

Background

Bitcoin is currently trading near $105,000, having experienced significant volatility in early November. Bitcoin soared to a new all-time high near $126,000 in October 2025, then fell back below $100,000 amid BTC ETF outflows and market consolidation. Bitcoin was under pressure in October 2025, first soaring to a new all-time high near $126,000, then falling back below $100,000 amid BTC ETF outflows and market consolidation.

Analyst forecasts for November and year-end 2025 are mixed. Bitcoin price prediction models suggest an increase of nearly 8%, targeting $114,500 by the end of November 2025. However, some analysts believe BTC can reach $130,000–$140,000 by the end of 2025 if there is a comeback in ETF buying and macro conditions are favorable. Michael Saylor's publicly stated year-end target for 2025 is $150,000 per coin, which is roughly 50% more than Bitcoin's recent price of about $103,000.

Considerations

Reaching $130,000 in November would require approximately a 24% gain from current levels in roughly 6 weeks. Bitcoin reached $126,000 in October 2025, meaning the target is only $4,000 above the recent all-time high. The primary headwinds are ETF outflows and macro uncertainty, while potential tailwinds include institutional demand and year-end positioning.