Will I be convinced that my blog post is fundamentally wrong in a week from now?
6
100Ṁ70Mar 15
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is the post: https://open.substack.com/pub/mariopasquato/p/a-simple-model-of-humanai-replacement
Note that this is a simple (maybe even simplistic) model, and I already know this.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will I write a blog post about “Yeshivish for Rationalists” by Mar. 30?
83% chance
Will I think that a model or service I try is good enough to write my blog from my notes before the end of the year?
44% chance
Will my blog succeed in its inelegant New Year's resolution for 2025?
59% chance
Will anyone on Twitter make a credible claim that I am arguing for something in bad faith by the end of 2025?
22% chance
What is the most helpful blog post you have ever read that others might disagree with?
Ṁ170 bounty