Did the DEFUSE project cause the COVID-19 pandemic?
10
1kṀ1489Dec 31
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See e.g. https://twitter.com/emilyakopp/status/1736848388350459913
Guy arguing against: https://twitter.com/wanderer_jasnah/status/1674580502194397185
(I briefly placed a small bet on this market then immediately sold it off at zero profit. I will not bet on this market.)
Resolution will be delegated to the site moderators if any one of the following is true as of 2030 or as of when I resolve it, whichever is earlier:
bettors with a total stake of at least 33% dispute my decision
if IDK and want to delegate it anyway
if I'm not on the site anymore
or furthermore if by 2025 I have not resolved the market but betters with a total stake of at least 67% believe it ought to be resolved already (and said site moderators agree with this faction).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!