Did the DEFUSE project cause the COVID-19 pandemic?
10
1kṀ1489
Dec 31
25%
chance

See e.g. https://twitter.com/emilyakopp/status/1736848388350459913

Guy arguing against: https://twitter.com/wanderer_jasnah/status/1674580502194397185

(I briefly placed a small bet on this market then immediately sold it off at zero profit. I will not bet on this market.)

Resolution will be delegated to the site moderators if any one of the following is true as of 2030 or as of when I resolve it, whichever is earlier:

  • bettors with a total stake of at least 33% dispute my decision

  • if IDK and want to delegate it anyway

  • if I'm not on the site anymore

or furthermore if by 2025 I have not resolved the market but betters with a total stake of at least 67% believe it ought to be resolved already (and said site moderators agree with this faction).

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