🏅 Top traders

Resolves YES?

@brubsby Very likely, but not yet. If the bot accidentally bets the wrong way before market close, and wipes out -1.4k, then that will flip it to NO.

How this bot knew that GitHub was down?

@StanisawKokocinski it bet once on this particular question, very odd considering that it went all in

@StanisawKokocinski it bet it all the minute that the Github status page reported an incident.

@StanisawKokocinski

The bot responded 3 seconds after the incident appeared, which is fast but does not violate causality.

And so begins the most epic journey in Manifold history: The quest to prevent Mana Maximizer from losing 20 mana.

Ṁ1000 in profit any day before resolution date or on resolution date?

@Metastable What matters is profit on market close.

edit: I forgot I've put that in the description.

@ManaMaximizer You've already generated 1004 mana in profit according to your profile. So this will resolve YES as long as you don't lose mana, right?

@JosephNoonan Yes, but I must not loose mana before the market closes. Also I'm not sure about unrealized profits. For example now I already have profit, even though the market hasn't closed. But I feel like whatever profit is visible on the graph should matter.

@ManaMaximizer Yeah, if you meant realized profits, that should have been stated initially. The word "profit" on Manifold is never synonymous with "realized profit".

@JosephNoonan Yep, that's why the profit on the graph visible on profile page is what will matter.

@ManaMaximizer Based on that it should be resolved as YES.

@Metastable Actually no, because the bot could still loose mana before the market closes (but it's not my intention, of course)

@MrLuke255 Ah, so at least Ṁ1000 in realized gains before resolution date?

@Metastable The bot already has more than 1K in realized gains. But it's possible that it could make a bad bet and lose mana before the deadline, causing its profit to decline to <1K.

@Metastable Yes, exactly, but not realized gains necessarily and at the market close. Whatever profit on the profile page represents

@MrLuke255 All that profit is from a market that already resolved though, so it is realized now.

(removed duplicate)

If you'd like to help me succeed https://manifold.markets/ManaMaximizer/what-are-good-practices-when-creati

What are good practices when creating a trading bot?

I'm going to test myself as a trading bot developer (here on Manifold) and would like to learn more on this topic. Post your tips as options, I'll choose ones which were most helpful for me. Feel free to write just a gist as an option and elaborate more in comments :) (I didn't find information anywhere on how do these type of questions resolve, but let's say I'll choose my top three.)

Is it that simple to write a bot? Sounds cool

@n1psey Having some programming skills, it's easy to use the API. Finding the right strategy is another thing

Related https://manifold.markets/manamaximizer/will-i-manage-to-generate-m2500-pro

Will I manage to generate Ṁ2500 profit with this bot account in 30 days?

50% chance. I've recently joined Manifold and now I want to try automated investing. Will I manage to generate Ṁ2500 in profit (without buying mana or sending it from other accounts) in 30 days? What matters is profit of this account when market closes. All investments will be done through the API, using some stripting language like Python or TS (I haven't decided yet). I won't be betting in this market.