Resolves true if I'm told that surgery is the best course of action when I visit the orthopedic doctor tomorrow. Resolves false otherwise.
I think this market prediction is interesting because most olecranon fractures require surgery due to the triceps pulling the bones separate preventing healing, but in initial X-rays 1 week ago, my olecranon still remained minimally displaced. If it has displaced further due to triceps tension, surgery may be necessary.
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This is very good news-- my olecranon fracture is one of very few (according to my orthopedic doctor) that may not need surgery. As surgery is not being recommended as the best course of action at the due date, I'm resolving this market to no. It's looking like I can save the money and just keep it in a sling for another month~.