Will there be a significant AI safety incident involving OpenAI o1 before April 2025?
➕
Plus
13
Ṁ2861
2025
41%
chance

This market resolves to "YES" if there is a publicly reported AI safety incident directly involving OpenAI's o1 or o1-preview before April 1, 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO."

An "AI safety incident" refers to a scenario where o1 causes significant harm, leading to substantial consequences for users, the public, or society. This includes harmful actions by humans influenced or manipulated by o1.

It does not matter whether the harmful action was caused by human instructions with ill intent or resulted from a malfunction or other failure of o1; either case will be considered an incident

The market will resolve based on credible news reports, official statements from OpenAI, or other reliable sources by the end of the resolution period, with a primary focus on official OpenAI statements.

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Ṁ1,000
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