Will the Rwanda-DR Congo peace deal scheduled to be signed next week still be actively implemented by December 31, 2025?
3
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42%
NO, not signed, NO not actively implemented by December 31st
43%
YES signed, NO not actively implemented by December 31st
42%
YES signed, and YES actively implemented by December 31st
Will the Rwanda-DR Congo peace deal, scheduled to be signed next week, still be actively implemented by December 31, 2025?
Uncertainty given:
The history of failed peace deals between these countries
Multiple unresolved critical questions (M23 withdrawal, Rwandan troop presence, FDLR disarmament)
The complex web of armed groups and competing interests in the region
The prediction resolves accordingly based on signing and "No" if either country formally withdraws from the agreement within the timeframe.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cr795jjrnnlo
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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