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MANIFOLD
Will Section 8 of Lorxus's Calculus I Class Receive Cookies?
18
แน€350แน€2k
resolved Apr 21
Resolved
NO

Lorxus is a postdoctoral professor at [EXPUNGED] University in [REMOVED], USA. They're teaching two sections of Calculus I. Both of them have been promised cookies should their section average on Midterm Exam 2 surpass 75%. This market is about Section 8.

This market will resolve when the exam grades for Exam 2 come in, which will occur well before 2023-4-25. It resolves YES if the class receives cookies after earning a 75% or better section average on Midterm Exam 2.

As this market regards Lorxus's professional life, they will refrain from breaking their promise to bring cookies as just reward for a 75% or better section average, but the market will still resolve NO if despite diligent efforts, the bakery is closed or class is somehow permanently canceled, or if Midterm Exam 2 does not occur as scheduled on the evening of 2023-4-14.

Insider trading is encouraged on this market.

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predictedNO

Section 9's average was just above 62%. This market resolves NO.

predictedNO

@Lorxus *Section 8, not 9

predictedNO

I will not release incomplete results but I will say that at this point it's mathematically impossible for this section to win cookies, based on partial grading results. How do people feel about my resolving the market NO based on that?

predictedNO

Trading is now closed! Resolution will follow on grading.

@Lorxus i believe in your students and so i put on some last second gambles

predictedNO

Exam 2 is set to occur tonight. Grading will take place over the following week. I am helping grade, and will close (but not yet resolve) the market when grading begins.

predictedNO

@Lorxus Exam 2 has just begun!

predictedNO

@Lorxus Exam 2 is over!

predictedNO