Will at least 3 people post pictures of their cats in the comments?
36
438
690
resolved Jun 22
Resolved
YES

There have to be at least three different cat photos by three different people at the closing time to resolve Yes.

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predicted YES

There are 6 cat photos in their respective comment's current version, so the market resolves YES, under both interpretations of the market description.

What guarantee do we have that these are all "people" and those are real "cats"?

predicted YES

@NoyaV I'll assume every participating account is a human, as long as they don't have the "bot" label and aren't explicitly an alt account. The photos have to be "cat photos", they don't necessarily have to contain "real cats".

predicted YES

@Logaems Though, to be honest, I have no idea how to objectively define a "cat photo" or whether an image contains a "real cat".

bought Ṁ500 of YES

My hammu

predicted YES

Just note that the pictures have to be in the comments at market close. I don't expect people to delete them though, the market is too wholesome for that.

@Logaems comments can be edited but their history stays. If the edit "deletes" the photo, but you can still see the photo in the comment history, does that still count towards a yes resolution?

predicted YES

@ShitakiIntaki In that case yes, I thought they could be edited so that no photo remains.

@Logaems I edited my comment above.

Can you see what was there?

predicted YES

@ShitakiIntaki I do see the edit history.

predicted NO

@Logaems nvm, you can just click on the edit time

predicted NO

@ShitakiIntaki "In that case yes, I thought they could be edited so that no photo remains."
Your description definitely did not imply that, and I bet under the assumption that the market will resolve NO if people edited out their pictures. You should retract your statement before anyone bet with your comment in mind.

predicted YES

@SavioMak "There have to be at least three different cat photos by three different people at the closing time to resolve Yes." - I was just trying to be consistent with the original description, if you can still view the photos, I'd say they are still "there". Ofc it would be more interesting if people could delete them, now the market has to resolve yes.

predicted NO

@Logaems Looks more like an ambiguity to me. "Will at least 3 people post pictures of their cats in the comments?" and the comments(there) doesn't include the edit history in my opinion.

predicted YES

@SavioMak I can make a poll maybe? I'm new here, so not sure whether that works. If that doesn't work, I can send you some reasonable amount of compensation mana.

predicted NO

@Logaems Well, poll is going to definitely put me at a loss because everyone else is incentivized to vote against me. For me (who is VERY biased), I would prefer you to consider it yourself, and edit the description accordingly. I am @papetoast on Discord if you decided to count edit history and want to compensate me.

predicted YES

@Logaems Both ways seem fine. Wouldn't say you're obligated to compensate the other person.
Usual etiquette would be to lean in favour of the original market title/description.
You could argue '3 people post pictures of their cats' would also count if you can see the photo in the edit history, they at the very least posted the pictures.

predicted NO

For transparency I only spent M60 on the 9k shares

predicted YES

@SavioMak I really don't think the market will resolve No, even with your assumptions, and editing the description seems a little less fair than leaving it as it was. So my proposal is that I will compensate you only if your bet was right under your original assumptions, but not under the majority opinion at market close. Does that sound acceptable?

predicted NO

@Logaems Seems like you have made the final call, so I will give up on being pushy. That sounds acceptable yeah.

predicted YES

Thanks for the cat photos, now I regret not putting the number higher😂

bought Ṁ400 of YES

Cat that lives in my house

predicted YES

@AdriaGarrigaAlonso Note: I don’t own this cat so am unsure if it counts. But I can ask their owners to post it

bought Ṁ15 of YES

@AdriaGarrigaAlonso It's fine as long as the photo isn't from the internet, so no problem.