Will at least 3 people post pictures of their cats in the comments?
36
690Ṁ27k
resolved Jun 22
Resolved
YES

There have to be at least three different cat photos by three different people at the closing time to resolve Yes.

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predictedYES

There are 6 cat photos in their respective comment's current version, so the market resolves YES, under both interpretations of the market description.

What guarantee do we have that these are all "people" and those are real "cats"?

predictedYES

@NoyaV I'll assume every participating account is a human, as long as they don't have the "bot" label and aren't explicitly an alt account. The photos have to be "cat photos", they don't necessarily have to contain "real cats".

predictedYES

@Logaems Though, to be honest, I have no idea how to objectively define a "cat photo" or whether an image contains a "real cat".

My hammu

predictedYES

Just note that the pictures have to be in the comments at market close. I don't expect people to delete them though, the market is too wholesome for that.

@Logaems comments can be edited but their history stays. If the edit "deletes" the photo, but you can still see the photo in the comment history, does that still count towards a yes resolution?

predictedYES

@ShitakiIntaki In that case yes, I thought they could be edited so that no photo remains.

@Logaems I edited my comment above.

Can you see what was there?

predictedYES

@ShitakiIntaki I do see the edit history.

predictedNO

@Logaems nvm, you can just click on the edit time

predictedNO

@ShitakiIntaki "In that case yes, I thought they could be edited so that no photo remains."
Your description definitely did not imply that, and I bet under the assumption that the market will resolve NO if people edited out their pictures. You should retract your statement before anyone bet with your comment in mind.

predictedYES

@SavioMak "There have to be at least three different cat photos by three different people at the closing time to resolve Yes." - I was just trying to be consistent with the original description, if you can still view the photos, I'd say they are still "there". Ofc it would be more interesting if people could delete them, now the market has to resolve yes.

predictedNO

@Logaems Looks more like an ambiguity to me. "Will at least 3 people post pictures of their cats in the comments?" and the comments(there) doesn't include the edit history in my opinion.

predictedYES

@SavioMak I can make a poll maybe? I'm new here, so not sure whether that works. If that doesn't work, I can send you some reasonable amount of compensation mana.

predictedNO

@Logaems Well, poll is going to definitely put me at a loss because everyone else is incentivized to vote against me. For me (who is VERY biased), I would prefer you to consider it yourself, and edit the description accordingly. I am @papetoast on Discord if you decided to count edit history and want to compensate me.

predictedYES

@Logaems Both ways seem fine. Wouldn't say you're obligated to compensate the other person.
Usual etiquette would be to lean in favour of the original market title/description.
You could argue '3 people post pictures of their cats' would also count if you can see the photo in the edit history, they at the very least posted the pictures.

predictedNO

For transparency I only spent M60 on the 9k shares

predictedYES

@SavioMak I really don't think the market will resolve No, even with your assumptions, and editing the description seems a little less fair than leaving it as it was. So my proposal is that I will compensate you only if your bet was right under your original assumptions, but not under the majority opinion at market close. Does that sound acceptable?

predictedNO

@Logaems Seems like you have made the final call, so I will give up on being pushy. That sounds acceptable yeah.

predictedYES

Thanks for the cat photos, now I regret not putting the number higher😂

Cat that lives in my house

predictedYES

@AdriaGarrigaAlonso Note: I don’t own this cat so am unsure if it counts. But I can ask their owners to post it

@AdriaGarrigaAlonso It's fine as long as the photo isn't from the internet, so no problem.

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