Will a liberal candidate win the 2023 Wisconsin Supreme Court election?
22
64
αΉ€450
resolved Apr 5
Resolved
YES

Wisconsin Supreme Court elections are officially non-partisan, but the justices still have political leanings. I will resolve based on what reliable sources say about whether the new justice is liberal or conservative (or equivalently Democrat-aligned or Republican-aligned). If the new justice is widely reported to be a moderate aligned with neither party I will resolve to PROB. This market refers to the scheduled election on April 4 to replace retiring justice Patience D. Roggensack, not any other elections that may occur in 2023.

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predicted YES

I didn't donate because of this market, so I'm glad it was right

predicted YES

called by CNN

bought αΉ€500 of YES

@SemioticRivalry and AP, and NYT

bought αΉ€90 of YES

This race will basically be a referendum on Wisconsin's pre-Civil War abortion ban and gerrymandered maps. Good luck winning on defending those.