Resolves to the exact results of the 2024 United States presidential election, or "Something else" (the market closes before the election). These should be specified in relation to the 2020 results (to make the answers shorter). The names of candidates do not need to be specified, only parties. The results for congressional districts that provide electoral votes (in Maine and Nebraska) are also needed. Faithless electors do not count. In the event of a dispute over the results of the election I will follow reliable sources.

(If you want to make a prediction that involves a lot of changes from 2020, then you can use any format for your answer as long as it is unambiguous.)

(All answers must refer to exact lists of states, not things like "hard red states"!)