Resolution criteria

• This market will resolve to YES if Roger Waters performs at least one song live on stage in front of a physical audience at any point between January 1, 2027, and December 31, 2027, UTC.

• This includes solo concerts, festival slots, or guest appearances during other artists' live sets (such as making a guest appearance on his son Harry Waters' "Legacy" tour).

• The performance must be live and in-person; virtual, hologram, pre-recorded, or broadcast-only performances without a live audience do not qualify.

• Merely appearing on stage to speak, introduce an act, or wave to the crowd without actively performing music does not count toward a YES resolution.

• If Roger Waters does not perform live during 2027, this market will resolve to NO.

• Sources of truth: Verification will be based on Setlist.fm, Roger Waters' official website, or coverage from major music news publications (e.g., Rolling Stone, Billboard).

Background

• Roger Waters (born September 1943) concluded his "This Is Not a Drill" tour in late 2023, which was heavily billed as his "first farewell tour."

• In April 2026, Waters announced "Roger Waters Presents LEGACY – A Pink Floyd Show Performed by the Harry Waters Band," a tribute project led by his son Harry Waters scheduled to hit the road in February 2027.

• Waters launched open auditions to find a lead singer who could replicate his younger vocals for the 2027 tribute tour, suggesting he does not intend to front the band himself. This has left traders wondering whether he will make any surprise guest appearances on the tour or play other live dates in 2027.

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