Daily updated chart available here.

Male, 38 years old, 185 cm (6'1"), weighing in at 112.7 kg (248.5 lbs) at the date of creation of this market (2023-11-14).

I have in the past lost a lot of weight. I weighed in at 146.6 kg (323.2 lbs) in July 2021 and reached a lowest weight of 103.7 kg (228.6 lbs) in May 2023, but have since steadily regained weight up to current weight. I feel it's time for another leg down and thought it would be fun to make a market on it.

My approach will be the same as what has worked for me in the past: Logging every piece of food I put in my mouth using MacroFactor, targeting a deficit of ~500 kcal below TDEE per day (TDEE inferred by MF app from difference between logged energy intake and observed weight loss) in order to lose weight, and targeting a protein intake of 1.6 g/kg/day as well as performing resistance exercise 4 times per week in order to minimize lean mass loss.

Resolution will be according to the weight reported by my bathroom scale first thing in the morning after a toilet visit on the last day of each quarter.

Will update progress weekly on Sundays, reporting spot weight for that Sunday morning as well as the MacroFactor calculated trend weight which appears to be a 20 day exponentially weighted moving average.

2023Q4 end of quarter update:

First goal resolved NO. Pretty poor adherence due to high stress from both work and academics, some traveling and the holidays.

2024Q1 isn't looking too bad, some of the stress factors will be removed. Will have a couple of extra kilos to catch up but it shouldn't be impossible.

Weekly status updates:
2023-11-19: spot weight: 113.7 kg, trend weight: 112.9 kg
2023-11-26: spot weight: 112.6 kg, trend weight: 112.8 kg
2023-12-03: spot weight: 113.9 kg, trend weight: 113.4 kg

2023-12-10: spot weight: 112.4 kg, trend weight: 113.1 kg
2023-12-17: spot weight: 115.0 kg, trend weight: 113.1 kg
2023-12-24: spot weight: 114.2 kg, trend weight: 113.6 kg

2023-12-31: spot weight: 113.3 kg, trend weight: 114.3 kg

2024-01-07: spot weight: 112.7 kg, trend weight: 113.9 kg
2024-01-14: spot weight: 111.7 kg, trend weight: 113.0 kg

2024-01-21: spot weight: 111.9 kg, trend weight: 112.2 kg

2024-01-21: spot weight: 111.9 kg, trend weight: 112.2 kg
2024-01-28: spot weight: 111.2 kg, trend weight: 111.8 kg

2024-02-04: spot weight: 109.7 kg, trend weight: 111.0 kg

2024-02-11: spot weight: 109.7 kg, trend weight: 110.8 kg

2024-02-18: spot weight: 110.4 kg, trend weight: 110.3 kg

2024-02-25: spot weight: 108.8 kg, trend weight: 109.9 kg
2024-03-03: spot weight: 109.3 kg, trend weight: 109.4 kg

2024-03-10: spot weight: 110.1 kg, trend weight: 109.7 kg

2024-03-17: spot weight: 110.7 kg, trend weight: 110.0 kg

2024-03-24: spot weight: 112.9 kg, trend weight: 110.8 kg

2024-03-31: spot weight: 114.8 kg, trend weight: 112.0 kg

Feel free to ask questions.

I will not participate in this market.