Will Sweepstakes launch for UK residents before my $75 'gift' expires/disappears?
10
Ṁ5241
2029
43%
chance

If my bonus disappears (as is apparently planned) at the end of 2024 before this feature launches for the UK, I'll resolve NO.

If it is confirmed that the feature won't ever roll out in the UK, I'll resolve NO.

If Sweepstakes aren't launched in the UK by EOY 2029, I'll resolve NO.

#Manifold
#Sweepstakes
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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bought Ṁ50 NO

As I'm UK-based I hope I'm wrong, but before 2024 seems a long shot, though I've not done any research on what kind of boxes need to be ticked before UK users are allowed to access.

bought Ṁ50 NO

@Noit Manifold supporting their international users?

soldṀ2,114NO

@jacksonpolack lol, what happened here. I don't know if this makes me optimistic or not.

bought Ṁ150 YES

@kevor idk about his reasoning but i think they've said something about how, for countries where sweepstakes launch later on, they will have access to the "bonus" / "gift" for a short period of time after it gets available there. so If you have 75$, and it becomes legal in the uk in 2026, maybe you'll be able to get your 75$ gift at that point. not totally sure.

@Bayesian Cool, that would be really nice to see.

If this plan came to pass the market would resolve YES obviously.

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