How many spaces will I reach after 10,000,000 turns of WWB?
1
Ṁ275Ṁ200resolved Mar 14
Resolved
71H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%12%
7
7%
0-4
12%
5-6
12%
8
12%
9
12%
10
12%
11-12
7%
13-15
7%
16-20
7%
21+
Sorry for the low liquidity, I couldn't afford to make it higher this time :(
Also, I'll try to create the market earlier in the day in the future.
DAY 2
Average: 8 spaces
Last run: 8 spaces
The rules of WWB are simple:
Roll a die.
If it's not a 5, nothing happens and the turn ends.
If it is a 5, roll the die again.
If the second roll is a 5, move forward one space.
If the second roll is not a 5, go back to 0.
The market will resolve based on the highest space reached in the entire 10 million turn simulation.
The chance for any given "run" to reach space N is (1/6)^N.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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