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MANIFOLD
How many spaces will I reach after 10,000,000 turns of WWB?
1
Ṁ275Ṁ200
resolved Mar 14
Resolved
7
100%12%
7
7%
0-4
12%
5-6
12%
8
12%
9
12%
10
12%
11-12
7%
13-15
7%
16-20
7%
21+

Sorry for the low liquidity, I couldn't afford to make it higher this time :(

Also, I'll try to create the market earlier in the day in the future.

DAY 2

Average: 8 spaces

Last run: 8 spaces

The rules of WWB are simple:
Roll a die.

If it's not a 5, nothing happens and the turn ends.

If it is a 5, roll the die again.

If the second roll is a 5, move forward one space.

If the second roll is not a 5, go back to 0.

The market will resolve based on the highest space reached in the entire 10 million turn simulation.

The chance for any given "run" to reach space N is (1/6)^N.

Market context
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