Will Manifold solve the "user cred" problem by the end of 2022?
12
1
แน185แน222
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Everybody loves having internet points that say how cool they are. M$ in your wallet is *nice*, but given that people can just buy M$ with real $, it isn't fully satisfying. Likewise for e.g. total profit--it's obviously an improvement, but I kind of suspect it has a lot to do with how much leverage you have, i.e. are you willing to spend $ on M$.
Will Manifold figure out a satisfying internet points number to show us about ourselves and each other, by the end of the year? Resolution criteria: I look upon their solution and see that it is good (or not). Willing to be influenced by group opinion on this matter.
Get แน200 play money
๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน15 | |
| 2 | แน7 | |
| 3 | แน3 | |
| 4 | แน1 |
Sort by:
My leading proposal is some kind of equity token (or perpetual swap) that tracks the "reputation" of each creator, and is freely tradeable as well. Though, I'm not sure what exactly grounds the value of this "reputation" - could be a separate like donation system, where you're betting that they will receive a certain amount of donations for the markets they've created. Or a star rating system. Or the amount of Manifold Bounties they will receive.
The dumbest thing to track/vote on/invest in is just their total portfolio or their total profit, but as you say that turns into a function of their external money.
Other fun maybe metrics: their leaderboard positions for market volume; or hypothetical leaderboard positions on number of followers, markets created, etc
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold put significant limits on changing usernames by the end of 2024?
49% chance
Will Manifold use a collaborative resolution algorithm before 2025?
28% chance
Will Manifold implement local accounts by EOY 2024?
54% chance
Will Manifold implement hierarchical groups and subgroups by the end of 2024?
67% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2030?
68% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2024?
18% chance
Will a manifold user do something very cool by the end of 2029?
27% chance
Will Manifold offer any kind of paid subscription service before the end of 2025?
84% chance
Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?
83% chance
Will Manifold resolve this time-goes-backwards bug by 2021?
50% chance