Will there be a coup attempt in Russia by the end of 2024?
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resolved May 14
Resolved
NO

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@shankypanky did anything you learned on the other market apply for this one as well?

@Eliza I'll have another look around to be sure I didn't miss anything but I believe this should resolve No as well.

@Eliza I think we're in the same position as the other market, as the only folks who seem to refer to it as a coup attempt were outside journalists and could be seen as editorialising. neither Wagner nor Putin (or anyone adjacent to either) referred directly to the action as an attempted coup, and there were no other actions that could be considered in that time frame. unfortunately these markets were slim (nil) on resolution criteria but I do think we need to take into account the fact that the creator below said we need either Putin or Wagner to say it was a coup, so it's a No.

Putin referred to it as a "treason" and a "grave danger" in his speech. Can we count this as official confirmation that he considers it a coup? @johnleoks

@PeterBuyukliev You can be treasonous and not do a coup. I need either Putin or the Wagner boss saying that it's a coup.

predictedYES

@johnleoks Wagner said that "Russia will have a new president soon". Explain to me how this is not an (attempted) coup?

@PeterBuyukliev So, no evidence?

predictedYES

@johnleoks I listed my evidence above, you snide cunt. TASS also referred to it as a coup.

@PeterBuyukliev Proof or gtfo

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