Will the Ukrainian army pull out of Bakhmut by the end of June?
johnleoks avatar
johnleoks
29
closes Jul 1
16%
chance

The market only resolves Yes if the consensus from mainstream media sources is that the Ukrainian forces in Bakhmut is pulling out. Pulling out means a full scale withdrawal. Them being pushed out slowly while still trying to hold as much ground as possible does not count as pulling out.

Mainstream media sources include the Washington Post, CNN, Fox, NPR, BBC, Al Jazeera, The Economist etc. Rando Twitter accounts do not count.

Ukraine-Russia war
Wars
Ukraine

Related markets

johnleoks avatarjohnleoks
Will the Ukrainian army pull out of Bakhmut by the end of May?1%
johnleoks avatarjohnleoks
Will the Ukrainian army pull out of Bakhmut by the end of July?18%
jack avatarJack
Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of June?14%
jack avatarJack
Will Ukraine retake western Bakhmut by June 15?4%
jack avatarJack
Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of July?18%
CM avatarCM
Will Kakhovka be liberated by Ukraine before the end of June?42%
JoshuaWilkes avatarJosh Wilkes
After the Ukrainian 2023 counteroffensive begins, will Russia withdraw from Bakhmut within one month?18%
MetaculusBot avatarMetaculus BotBot
Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of May 2023?1%
johnleoks avatarjohnleoks
Will Russia's Wagner Group pull out of Bakhmut, Ukraine by the end of May?1%
JoshuaWilkes avatarJosh Wilkes
After the Ukrainian 2023 counteroffensive begins, will Russia withdraw from Bakhmut within two weeks?18%
O avatarTX ⚜️
Will the Ukraine war be over by the end of 2023?11%
GeneFama avatarGene Fama
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of Jun 2023?4%
Fedor avatarFedor
Will the Ukrainian army launch a large scale counter-offense before July 2023?94%
johnleoks avatarjohnleoks
Will Russia control Avdiivka, a city close to being captured just like Bakhmut by July 31st?7%
NickelChen avatarNick el Chen
Will there be M1 Abrams tanks in service in Ukraine by June 2023?7%
johnleoks avatarjohnleoks
Will Russia control Avdiivka, a city close to being captured just like Bakhmut by June 30th?4%
NathanpmYoung avatarNathan Young
Will Russian and Ukraine still be fighting in June 2024?82%
MetaculusBot avatarMetaculus BotBot
Will Ukraine control Armiansk before July 1, 2023?6%
PS avatarPS
Will Gerasimov still lead Russia's invasion of Ukraine on June 30?66%
mat avatarmat
Will Belarus troops join the war in Ukraine by the 1st of June 20231%