Will ContraPoints release another video in 2023?
Will ContraPoints release another video in 2023?
resolved by
214
1.7kṀ51k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

The first video she released this year is The Witch Trials of J.K. Rowling.

https://www.youtube.com/c/ContraPoints/videos

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1y

Waiting for that new years special!

1y

New vid will be called The Prophecies and say prediction markets are reactionary RIP

predictedNO 1y

it's reactionary against falsehood! but ayy any update on when?

predictedYES 1y

@TheBayesian It’s a shitpost, I know nothing

1y

oh my

1y

Low key thought this pertained to the Konami video game from the 90s

1y

@KevinBlaw Should resolve as yes.

1y

up up down down left right left right b a select start

predictedNO 1y

@shankypanky Bing surf cat trick

1y

Fun market but easy no for me she just disappears for MONTHS

1y

https://twitter.com/ContraPoints/status/1727810307270094895
"Hi all, I've never done this before, but I've decided to pause Patreon billing for next month. You will not

be charged on December 1st. I've made this decision because I still haven't finished the main channel video I've been working on, and I don't want to go too deep into Tangent debt while finishing it. Billing will resume in January, provided I have released the main channel video by then (which I'd better lol). I also

owe you a November Tangent. I know some of you have no problem supporting me even if I'm not releasing exactly the amount of content I've planned, and I'm very grateful for your generosity. Nevertheless, I feel more honest sticking to my promises and not charging you until the content is ready. I have made

enough money this year and will be fine. Thanks as always for your patience and support. I hope to finally have the main channel video up

in a few weeks, with a couple Tangents shortly to follow!

Happy holidays, or protest days, or whatever it is you're all up to.

Best,

Natalie"

1y

Latest Patreon post indicates increased uncertainty but that she still expects to release before January.

1y

I'm subscribed to her Patreon, where she has mentioned that she's working on a main channel video for November

1y

@JCE Resolution is YouTube unlocked only?

predictedYES 1y

@JCE The market creator hasn’t been active for months, I don’t expect we’ll get an answer

BASED ON THE LAST 10 PUBLISHED VIDEOS

Average gap (in days): 133
Median gap (in days): 91
20th percentile (in days): 48
80th percentile (in days): 213
Maximum gap (in days) for this market to resolve YES: 257

predictedNO 1y

I still don't know why this market is so bullish on Contra, she's super inconsistent and slow with her video releases.

1y

Release date between videos have been 7 months, 9 months, then 11 months for the latest. On trend next video will be May 2024.

predictedYES 1y

@TomFinnie alright fam buy more then. I got a limit order of 500 at 75% so you got great odds

predictedNO 1y

@Shah heh

2y

she already talked on twitter about how there is another video in the making btw

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