Will ContraPoints release another video in 2023?
214
2.2K
1.7K
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

The first video she released this year is The Witch Trials of J.K. Rowling.

https://www.youtube.com/c/ContraPoints/videos

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Waiting for that new years special!

bought Ṁ100 of YES

New vid will be called The Prophecies and say prediction markets are reactionary RIP

predicted NO

it's reactionary against falsehood! but ayy any update on when?

predicted YES

@TheBayesian It’s a shitpost, I know nothing

bought Ṁ30 of YES

oh my

Low key thought this pertained to the Konami video game from the 90s

@KevinBlaw Should resolve as yes.

up up down down left right left right b a select start

predicted NO

@shankypanky Bing surf cat trick

Fun market but easy no for me she just disappears for MONTHS

bought Ṁ20 of YES

https://twitter.com/ContraPoints/status/1727810307270094895
"Hi all, I've never done this before, but I've decided to pause Patreon billing for next month. You will not

be charged on December 1st. I've made this decision because I still haven't finished the main channel video I've been working on, and I don't want to go too deep into Tangent debt while finishing it. Billing will resume in January, provided I have released the main channel video by then (which I'd better lol). I also

owe you a November Tangent. I know some of you have no problem supporting me even if I'm not releasing exactly the amount of content I've planned, and I'm very grateful for your generosity. Nevertheless, I feel more honest sticking to my promises and not charging you until the content is ready. I have made

enough money this year and will be fine. Thanks as always for your patience and support. I hope to finally have the main channel video up

in a few weeks, with a couple Tangents shortly to follow!

Happy holidays, or protest days, or whatever it is you're all up to.

Best,

Natalie"

sold Ṁ212 of YES

Latest Patreon post indicates increased uncertainty but that she still expects to release before January.

bought Ṁ194 of YES

I'm subscribed to her Patreon, where she has mentioned that she's working on a main channel video for November

sold Ṁ303 of YES

@JCE Resolution is YouTube unlocked only?

predicted YES

@JCE The market creator hasn’t been active for months, I don’t expect we’ll get an answer

BASED ON THE LAST 10 PUBLISHED VIDEOS

Average gap (in days): 133
Median gap (in days): 91
20th percentile (in days): 48
80th percentile (in days): 213
Maximum gap (in days) for this market to resolve YES: 257

predicted NO

I still don't know why this market is so bullish on Contra, she's super inconsistent and slow with her video releases.

bought Ṁ35 of NO

Release date between videos have been 7 months, 9 months, then 11 months for the latest. On trend next video will be May 2024.

predicted YES

@TomFinnie alright fam buy more then. I got a limit order of 500 at 75% so you got great odds

predicted NO

@Shah heh

she already talked on twitter about how there is another video in the making btw

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