Will Audrey Hale, the Nashville Covenant School shooter's manifesto mention "trans genocide"?
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Dec 31
15%
chance
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⚠Inactive Creator

📢Resolution Pending

If any predictors have proof, please feel free to post to interpret for a resolution

predicts YES

@SirCryptomind IMO it's premature, the full manifesto has not been published yet, and there is no reason to interpret the question as being about the first 2 pages published.

@CodeandSolder Fair enough. I unresolved any that were "manifesto" related.
Since the creator has long been AFK, pretty much close to abandoned some would say, that I interpreted it as by the close date.

predicts YES

@SirCryptomind while I'm quite profitable overall on the series I'd say they should N/A if resolving today, but I think extending them is probably the best option

predicts NO

@CodeandSolder I agree with codeandsolder, we'll know eventually and I want to flex about how I was right

predicts NO

I was expecting these markets to be extended. I think they should be.

predicts YES

@Shump I extended the manifesto ones, dunno about the "will it be revealed" ones

bought Ṁ510 of NO

Called it.

predicts YES
bought Ṁ45 of NO

@CodeandSolder I don't buy it. We're talking about Steven Crowder, here, he wants to make trans people look as bad as possible. If this is the most he's got, market resolves no.

sold Ṁ105 of YES

https://rdrama.net/post/218438/full-tranifesto

It does mention "white privilege" and "crackers" though.

@Shai that's clearly not the whole thing, those are single pages from two different notebooks, with one clearly showing other pages exist

predicts YES
bought Ṁ100 of YES


Sounds like it's spicy...

@Shai I don't trust Glenn Greenwald as he thinks Alex Jones is a good journalist and has encouraged him to keep running Infowars

You are sick in the head my guy

predicts YES

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