resolves YES if the market is at 50%. resolves no if it is more or less than 50%. just a silly idea i had
Close date updated to 2023-02-01 9:00 pm

i think the result of this market is a matter of semantics. people are saying that it should be n/a or yes since i said "on feb 1" instead of "at closing".
i have decided to resolve it as yes, since the market was at exactly 50% at some time during feb 1. i dont plan on making any further changes to the result now. :B

@Cadence should i change the resolution again, so that it will be n/a if it is not 50% at resolution time?


@johnegbert Yeah just N/A it, the resolution criteria have changed too many times, this is a mess now

the changed market close time proves that the original time was on february 1
we can see in the market description that the close time was changed to "2023-02-01 9:00 pm"
however, if i look at the actual new close time on my client, it is 10:00 pm
this means that my time zone is 1 hour ahead of the creator's
the original close time was february 2, 12:59 am on my client, but since we know my time zone is 1 hour ahead of the creator's, in their time zone it was february 1, 11:59 pm

@johnegbert should resolve n/a instead of resolving based on the value on February 2nd rather than on February 1st like originally asked

@johnegbert again, should just resolve n/a instead of picking a new time after trading occurred
Seems Pat is more hung up on misunderstanding the wording on the resolution criteria, I guess he wouldn't have invested otherwise?
I don't even see how the other meaning could have been logically consistent. How could "will this market be at exactly 50% on february 1?" mean at closing time if closing time was after February 1?

I have no horse in this race but I agree with pat myrons interpretation, should either be resolved yes or n/a
@RogerYang market started at 50%, but the market didn't start on February 1st. Doesn't matter that it started at 50% since it was a previous date
Not sure why you're betting post clarification though, unless you think the market creator's going to backtrack on his clarification?
resolving yes doesn't make any sense with the description, i'm fine with n/a though

i forgot that nobody is required to bet yes. this is a bad question isnt it :B
i guess someone could try to get it to 50%?









