resolves YES if the market is at 50%. resolves no if it is more or less than 50%. just a silly idea i had
Close date updated to 2023-02-01 9:00 pm
i think the result of this market is a matter of semantics. people are saying that it should be n/a or yes since i said "on feb 1" instead of "at closing".
i have decided to resolve it as yes, since the market was at exactly 50% at some time during feb 1. i dont plan on making any further changes to the result now. :B
ok, i'll resolve it now.
the changed market close time proves that the original time was on february 1
we can see in the market description that the close time was changed to "2023-02-01 9:00 pm"
however, if i look at the actual new close time on my client, it is 10:00 pm
this means that my time zone is 1 hour ahead of the creator's
the original close time was february 2, 12:59 am on my client, but since we know my time zone is 1 hour ahead of the creator's, in their time zone it was february 1, 11:59 pm
dear all. i should clarify that i mean YES if the market is at 50% at closing time :B
i changed the closing time so that it closes on february 1st now.
Seems Pat is more hung up on misunderstanding the wording on the resolution criteria, I guess he wouldn't have invested otherwise?
I don't even see how the other meaning could have been logically consistent. How could "will this market be at exactly 50% on february 1?" mean at closing time if closing time was after February 1?
I have no horse in this race but I agree with pat myrons interpretation, should either be resolved yes or n/a
Not sure why you're betting post clarification though, unless you think the market creator's going to backtrack on his clarification?
resolving yes doesn't make any sense with the description, i'm fine with n/a though
i forgot that nobody is required to bet yes. this is a bad question isnt it :B
i guess someone could try to get it to 50%?