This market will resolve when Dagonet bets 69 mana here.
Update 2025-12-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The 69 mana on NO requirement is measured over all trades (aggregate), not from a single trade.
Update 2025-12-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve when Dagonet bets 69 or more mana on this market (aggregate across all trades). The resolution outcome will be determined by which side (YES or NO) Dagonet bets on.
Update 2025-12-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will close when Dagonet has placed 69 mana bet on 1 side (not split across YES and NO). It must say that in the holders section of the market.
Update 2025-12-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will close when the holders section of the market shows that Dagonet has spent 69 mana on one side (YES or NO).
Update 2025-12-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve when Dagonet has 69 total mana bet OR when the market reaches its close time, whichever comes first.
Update 2025-12-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The 69 mana threshold must be visible in the holders section of the market (not just aggregate trades).
N/a here automatically means there is no profit for @Dagonet at this realted market: https://manifold.markets/MaxE/will-dagonet-profit
@GeorgePetverd he already sold some of his shares before the market closed (betting in different directions) which means he has already pocketed that money.
@ZandaZhu No, When a market is n/a, it cancels all trades on the market that ever happened. So if you had sold for a profit it is taken back
The market was closed ~2 hours ago after reaching the creatorโs stated threshold (69 mana bets requirement). ("This market will resolve when Dagonet bets 69 mana here, measured over all trades (aggregate), not from a single trade.")
The creator then reopened trading without explanation, contrary to their own binding clarifications.
Therefore, all trades executed after the reopen should be treated as invalid / not counted
Trades that SHOULD count (before closure)
NO (spent)
แน16/แน19 NO @72% (cancelled) โ NO +16
แน10/แน12 NO @81% โ NO +10
แน6/แน8 NO @87% โ NO +6
NO total (counted): แน32
YES (spent)
แน21/แน29 YES @36% (cancelled) โ YES +21
แน13/แน16 YES @24% (cancelled) โ YES +13
แน21/แน22 YES @33% (cancelled) โ YES +21
แน13/แน18 YES @8% (cancelled) โ YES +13
YES total (counted): แน68
Totals that SHOULD count
Total mana traded (counted): แน100
Counted NO: แน32
Counted YES: แน68
Market was already closed; creator reopened without reason; these trades are post-closure and should be excluded.
Trades that should NOT count (after improper reopen)
(All NO after illegal reopening)
แน39/แน100 NO @45% (cancelled) โ NO +39
แน22/แน100 NO @58% (cancelled) โ NO +22
แน12/แน100 NO @36% (cancelled) โ NO +12
แน11/แน100 NO @37% (cancelled) โ NO +11
แน8/แน94 NO @38% (cancelled) โ NO +8
Post-reopen total (excluded): แน92 (all on NO)
Summary (your intended โofficialโ counting - shall not count)
Counted total: แน100 (NO แน32, YES แน68)
Excluded total (after reopen): แน92 (NO แน92, YES แน0)
@GeorgePetverd I thought it would resolve when dagonet had 69 total mana bet or when the market reached its close time
@johnNZOy the market does resolve no if dagonet isnt holding 69 mana no at the time of resolution, right?
@johnNZOy your title says โat least 69โ, which dagonet crossed long ago. Your market already closed and should have resolved NO when it did.
@johnNZOy because 100 MANA bets on YES/NO were reached before market closure. NO won, after this you illegally reopened the trades.
@MachiNi When Dagonetโs total bets reached 69 MANA, .. And those had already reached 100 MANA total before initial expiration.
The market was expired, closed and must be resolved as NO, since Dagonet holds a position on the YES side.
@johnNZOy , Why did you reopen the market?
@johnNZOy @dagonet spent 100 MANA on bets before the market closed. Thank you for the final correct resolution: everything is good..
The only remaining issue is another market where people bet that Dagonet would not make a profit on this market. How that related market should be resolved now is still a mystery.