Will @Dagonet hold at least 69 mana on NO in this market?
19
200แน€5678
resolved Dec 25
Resolved
N/A
21

This market will resolve when Dagonet bets 69 mana here.

  • Update 2025-12-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The 69 mana on NO requirement is measured over all trades (aggregate), not from a single trade.

  • Update 2025-12-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve when Dagonet bets 69 or more mana on this market (aggregate across all trades). The resolution outcome will be determined by which side (YES or NO) Dagonet bets on.

  • Update 2025-12-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will close when Dagonet has placed 69 mana bet on 1 side (not split across YES and NO). It must say that in the holders section of the market.

  • Update 2025-12-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will close when the holders section of the market shows that Dagonet has spent 69 mana on one side (YES or NO).

  • Update 2025-12-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve when Dagonet has 69 total mana bet OR when the market reaches its close time, whichever comes first.

  • Update 2025-12-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The 69 mana threshold must be visible in the holders section of the market (not just aggregate trades).

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N/a here automatically means there is no profit for @Dagonet at this realted market: https://manifold.markets/MaxE/will-dagonet-profit

@GeorgePetverd this is false.

@GeorgePetverd he already sold some of his shares before the market closed (betting in different directions) which means he has already pocketed that money.

@ZandaZhu No, When a market is n/a, it cancels all trades on the market that ever happened. So if you had sold for a profit it is taken back

I bet because there was over 20 hours for dagonets position to change. Now you closed it early. You can't do that.

@NzJack0n read the other comments

@johnNZOy resolve it n/a

Huh? How can you close the market early?

@NzJack0n it had already closed and was re-opened for no apparent reason.

  • The market was closed ~2 hours ago after reaching the creatorโ€™s stated threshold (69 mana bets requirement). ("This market will resolve when Dagonet bets 69 mana here, measured over all trades (aggregate), not from a single trade.")

  • The creator then reopened trading without explanation, contrary to their own binding clarifications.

  • Therefore, all trades executed after the reopen should be treated as invalid / not counted

Trades that SHOULD count (before closure)

NO (spent)

  1. แน€16/แน€19 NO @72% (cancelled) โ†’ NO +16

  2. แน€10/แน€12 NO @81% โ†’ NO +10

  3. แน€6/แน€8 NO @87% โ†’ NO +6

NO total (counted): แน€32

YES (spent)

  1. แน€21/แน€29 YES @36% (cancelled) โ†’ YES +21

  2. แน€13/แน€16 YES @24% (cancelled) โ†’ YES +13

  3. แน€21/แน€22 YES @33% (cancelled) โ†’ YES +21

  4. แน€13/แน€18 YES @8% (cancelled) โ†’ YES +13

YES total (counted): แน€68

Totals that SHOULD count

  • Total mana traded (counted): แน€100

  • Counted NO: แน€32

  • Counted YES: แน€68

Market was already closed; creator reopened without reason; these trades are post-closure and should be excluded.

Trades that should NOT count (after improper reopen)

(All NO after illegal reopening)

  1. แน€39/แน€100 NO @45% (cancelled) โ†’ NO +39

  2. แน€22/แน€100 NO @58% (cancelled) โ†’ NO +22

  3. แน€12/แน€100 NO @36% (cancelled) โ†’ NO +12

  4. แน€11/แน€100 NO @37% (cancelled) โ†’ NO +11

  5. แน€8/แน€94 NO @38% (cancelled) โ†’ NO +8

Post-reopen total (excluded): แน€92 (all on NO)

Summary (your intended โ€œofficialโ€ counting - shall not count)

  • Counted total: แน€100 (NO แน€32, YES แน€68)

  • Excluded total (after reopen): แน€92 (NO แน€92, YES แน€0)

opened a แน€50 YES at 20% order

@GeorgePetverd I thought it would resolve when dagonet had 69 total mana bet or when the market reached its close time

@MaxE it needs to say "69 mana"

@GeorgePetverd Sorry for the bad explanation! I will try to clarify more in the description

@johnNZOy the market does resolve no if dagonet isnt holding 69 mana no at the time of resolution, right?

@johnNZOy so it resolves no if dagonet holds 69 mana yes?

@johnNZOy your title says โ€˜at least 69โ€™, which dagonet crossed long ago. Your market already closed and should have resolved NO when it did.

@MachiNi I should have made it say that it had to be visible in the holders section.

@johnNZOy thatโ€™s never been what the market was about. Please resolve NO or N/A or weโ€™ll ask @mods to do so.

Why are you all betting down?

@johnNZOy because 100 MANA bets on YES/NO were reached before market closure. NO won, after this you illegally reopened the trades.

@johnNZOy when is this supposed to close? Why did you reopen the market?

@MachiNi When Dagonetโ€™s total bets reached 69 MANA, .. And those had already reached 100 MANA total before initial expiration.

The market was expired, closed and must be resolved as NO, since Dagonet holds a position on the YES side.

@johnNZOy , Why did you reopen the market?

@MachiNi it closes when it says that dagonet has placed 69 mana worth of bets on 1 side.

@GeorgePetverd It must say that Dagonet has spent 69 mana in the holders section.

@johnNZOy @dagonet spent 100 MANA on bets before the market closed. Thank you for the final correct resolution: everything is good..

The only remaining issue is another market where people bet that Dagonet would not make a profit on this market. How that related market should be resolved now is still a mystery.

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