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Will GPT-5.3-Codex have a longer time-horizon than Claude Opus 4.6?
14
Ṁ100Ṁ1.7k
resolved Feb 21
Resolved
NO

Background

Both models were released on the same day. Both are their respective companies' frontier reasoning models. This is as close to a fair fight as we could possibly hope for. So, who is ahead? OpenAI or Anthropic?

Resolution Criteria

Resolves according to the score shown for each model on https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/ (50% time horizon)

Market context
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@jim Resolves NO

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