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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is formally nominated by the Democratic National Committee as the Democratic presidential candidate by July 31, 2024 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
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Just this morning I saw a note that although the Ohio legislation had been revised to move their nomination deadline— it would be effective only on Sept 1. So as of July 18, the talk by the DNC is still to formally nominate Biden in advance of the original Aug 7 deadline. There is of course controversy!
Current plan is "first week of August". https://abcnews.go.com/amp/Politics/dnc-readies-move-forward-virtual-roll-call-biden/story?id=112114928
This is no longer true, Ohio moved the deadline to September. Edit: Although that is why they scheduled the virtual meeting, so it might still happen.
https://www.axios.com/local/chicago/2024/07/01/ohio-dnc-biden-ballot
extremely strange—does this basically rule out an open convention? or what am I missing?
The Democratic Party will hold their national convention for the 2024 presidential election from August 19 to August 22, 2024
Normally it would happen then
Edit - posted above