This question closes with an even probability
Resolved
NO
Jun 15
M$735 bet
This question resolves to YES if, when it closes, the ones digit of its probability is even. Anything after the ones digit will be dropped. 0% => YES, 50% => YES, 51% => NO, 51.9% => NO, 52.1% => YES, 100% => YES.

💬 Proven correct

jfjurchen
J. F. Jurchen bought M$10 of NO
Actually, it looks like probabilities are always displayed in the UI as a whole number (62% not 62.4%) unless the chance is very close to 100% or 0%. I was assuming it displayed with more precision as the amount bet/liquidity pool got bigger. So I probably don't need to worry about dropping anything after the ones digit unless someone makes a massive last-minute bet.
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J. F. Jurchen made M$20!
jfjurchen
J. F. Jurchen bought M$10 of NO
Actually, it looks like probabilities are always displayed in the UI as a whole number (62% not 62.4%) unless the chance is very close to 100% or 0%. I was assuming it displayed with more precision as the amount bet/liquidity pool got bigger. So I probably don't need to worry about dropping anything after the ones digit unless someone makes a massive last-minute bet.
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Angela
How does Manifold.Markets round the probabilities? Does it round to the nearest int, or does it round down like in the market rules?
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jfjurchen
J. F. Jurchen is betting NO at 52%
@Angela Not sure how rounding works, I'm just gonna go off whatever number I see in the UI at close time.
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