This question closes with an even probability
13
Ṁ116
resolved Jun 15
Resolved
NO
This question resolves to YES if, when it closes, the ones digit of its probability is even. Anything after the ones digit will be dropped. 0% => YES, 50% => YES, 51% => NO, 51.9% => NO, 52.1% => YES, 100% => YES.
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bought Ṁ10 of NO
Actually, it looks like probabilities are always displayed in the UI as a whole number (62% not 62.4%) unless the chance is very close to 100% or 0%. I was assuming it displayed with more precision as the amount bet/liquidity pool got bigger. So I probably don't need to worry about dropping anything after the ones digit unless someone makes a massive last-minute bet.
How does Manifold.Markets round the probabilities? Does it round to the nearest int, or does it round down like in the market rules?
predicted NO
@Angela Not sure how rounding works, I'm just gonna go off whatever number I see in the UI at close time.

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