Will @AlexShadley and I go to the gym a combined 400 times in 2024?
30
1kแน€13k
resolved Jan 25
Resolved
NO

Each time either of us goes to the gym the count for the year is increased by one. If we go to the gym together this counts as 2. A gym visit must involve 40+ minutes of activity. @AlexShadley and I are only allowed to bet YES and are not allowed to sell any positions.

We will give updates periodically.

Updates:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rUMJnvOm7PLTiX6AYdkmKuzwBPsD1dHZRoELa-p6x2I/edit#gid=0

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It's been 24 hours with no response, based on my understanding of the moderation guidelines and the market situation, I am going to resolve this No. If the creators show up to refute this we can look at the situation again.

@mods Based on the available information (ie the Google docs shows fewer than 400 combined visits), and since the creator is inactive, this should resolve NO. Ty

@BrunoJ I'm not quite sure I can immediately resolve No, some thoughts:

  1. We need to ping the creator and wait at least a day, in any case: @jcbmrshll @AlexShadley -- if you know the answer, please resolve.

  2. If we resolve No, but these two come back at any point in the future and say "That is factually incorrect, the correct resolution is Yes but the data just didn't get entered promptly", then we would have a bit of a predicament on our hands. They are the two biggest Yes holders and I feel like participants would accuse them of intentionally rigging the market by delaying data entry, abusing their position to profit. That could result in an N/A instead of No.

My judgement tells me that if they don't respond within 24 hours, it would be best to resolve No, based on the evidence available in the market, comments, and linked resource.

If no one shows up to resolve it, ping the mods again after 24 hours have passed.

Can we get an update?

bought แน€10 NO

Jacobโ€™s morale was running low so I juiced it with a 2-a-day.

No holding back now. Bears now is your chance to sell.

How often can we expect updates in the spreadsheet? Is there an SLA?

@dz Historically I donโ€™t think weโ€™ve ever been more than a day or two behind

Related: https://manifold.markets/jcbmrshll/will-i-go-to-the-gym-200-times-in-2

I'm not sure I feel confident putting money into this market unless @AlexShadley steps up his game

bought แน€111 NO

this is not happening

Falling below pace ๐Ÿ‘€

It's free real estate

doubters ๐Ÿ‘‰ ๐Ÿšช

Iโ€™m here for the drama

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