Will @AlexShadley and I go to the gym a combined 400 times in 2024?
22
526
330
2025
45%
chance

Each time either of us goes to the gym the count for the year is increased by one. If we go to the gym together this counts as 2. A gym visit must involve 40+ minutes of activity. @AlexShadley and I are only allowed to bet YES and are not allowed to sell any positions.

We will give updates periodically.

Updates:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rUMJnvOm7PLTiX6AYdkmKuzwBPsD1dHZRoELa-p6x2I/edit#gid=0

Get Ṁ200 play money
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Jacob’s morale was running low so I juiced it with a 2-a-day.

No holding back now. Bears now is your chance to sell.

How often can we expect updates in the spreadsheet? Is there an SLA?

@dz Historically I don’t think we’ve ever been more than a day or two behind

Related: https://manifold.markets/jcbmrshll/will-i-go-to-the-gym-200-times-in-2

I'm not sure I feel confident putting money into this market unless @AlexShadley steps up his game

bought Ṁ111 NO

this is not happening

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Falling below pace 👀

bought Ṁ250 of NO

It's free real estate

bought Ṁ25 of YES

doubters 👉 🚪

bought Ṁ50 of NO

I’m here for the drama