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Each time either of us goes to the gym the count for the year is increased by one. If we go to the gym together this counts as 2. A gym visit must involve 40+ minutes of activity. @AlexShadley and I are only allowed to bet YES and are not allowed to sell any positions.
We will give updates periodically.
Updates:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rUMJnvOm7PLTiX6AYdkmKuzwBPsD1dHZRoELa-p6x2I/edit#gid=0
π Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | αΉ601 | |
2 | αΉ575 | |
3 | αΉ418 | |
4 | αΉ262 | |
5 | αΉ249 |
@mods Based on the available information (ie the Google docs shows fewer than 400 combined visits), and since the creator is inactive, this should resolve NO. Ty
@BrunoJ I'm not quite sure I can immediately resolve No, some thoughts:
We need to ping the creator and wait at least a day, in any case: @jcbmrshll @AlexShadley -- if you know the answer, please resolve.
If we resolve No, but these two come back at any point in the future and say "That is factually incorrect, the correct resolution is Yes but the data just didn't get entered promptly", then we would have a bit of a predicament on our hands. They are the two biggest Yes holders and I feel like participants would accuse them of intentionally rigging the market by delaying data entry, abusing their position to profit. That could result in an N/A instead of No.
My judgement tells me that if they don't respond within 24 hours, it would be best to resolve No, based on the evidence available in the market, comments, and linked resource.
If no one shows up to resolve it, ping the mods again after 24 hours have passed.
Related: https://manifold.markets/jcbmrshll/will-i-go-to-the-gym-200-times-in-2
I'm not sure I feel confident putting money into this market unless @AlexShadley steps up his game
It's free real estate