Here's how this works:
Anyone can submit a free response option in the form of a guess that they have about me. It can be about anything - guesses about my music taste, my research interests, my sleep habits, etc.
Try to guess something that's not already known about me - guessing that I'm a trans furry probably just gets an N/A because I'm pretty sure the entire site knows that about me already.
If I don't feel comfortable answering the question in a public space like Manifold, I'll resolve the option to N/A.
Otherwise, I'll resolve to YES if the guess was right, NO if the guess was wrong, and 50% if it was partly right and partly wrong.
Between the option being submitted and me actually seeing and resolving it, you (and other traders) can spend mana to try to make a profit. If you're confident in a guess, buy YES - if you think someone has it wrong, buy NO. For obvious reasons, I won't bet on the options before resolving then.
This continues indefinitely, because the market doesn't close when I resolve an individual option.
Have at it!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ90 | |
2 | Ṁ83 | |
3 | Ṁ51 | |
4 | Ṁ49 | |
5 | Ṁ49 |