Will at least 3 US presidential debates occur in the 2024 election
64
Ṁ37k
Nov 7
32%
chance

Will at least 3 general election presidential debates occur in the 2024 election?

  • To resolve yes candidates of both Republican and Democratic parties must participate in each debate

  • Debates between vice presidential candidates do not count

Current count: 2

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#️ Politics
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Arb https://manifold.markets/cash/will-there-be-a-third-presidential?r=Tmljb0RlbG9u

bought Ṁ300 NO
opened a Ṁ4,300 YES at 75% order

Welp, put up a big exit order at 75% if anyone thinks more chaos or backpedaling is likely.

sold Ṁ1,253 YES

I gotchu

bought Ṁ2,500 NO

This market is Joever. It doesn't count VP debates and Trump / Harris will have one debate at most.

We're so back

@jaden

So, is the current count of such debates zero or one, given that Biden was the nominee-presumptive but now has withdrawn?

(That is, if Trump and Harris were to have exactly two debates, does this resolve as YES, or NO?)

Current count is at 1 both were party nominee/chosen candidate at the time

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