This is a copy of this market but longer-term. It also tests if i'm "calibrated", so I'll bet it down to 2% and you can try to convince me otherwise.

Tweet: "Nearly a third of Gen Z support the government installing surveillance cameras in every household  to prevent crime and abuse. Opposition to Orwelian-government monitoring has been assumed to be both overwhelming and obvious. But is it?"

Resolves to YES if I believe the survey's picked up on a real trend, NO if not, and PROB if unsure. It will probably resolve PROB though so if you convince me to be more uncertain and buy at 2% you can still double your money!

Source: https://twitter.com/emilyekins/status/1665729606379360261

Feel free to try to persuade me in the comments