Will, in a year, the new OpenAI board appear to be politically independent from Sam Altman, OpenAI, Microsoft?
Plus
19
Ṁ2913Nov 24
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to my judgement, or the judgement of a mod resolution council if disputed. It's incredibly fuzzy and subjective, of course.
I'm aiming at: does the board have actual power over the direction of OpenAI, and are using it for some interest uncontrolled by Sam and partners? So this might resolve NO if sam's packed the board with people who are obviously his allies or under his control. Or maybe YES if the board's filled with a lot of EAS/safetyists/etc, or a mixture of both. If there's a significant conflict between the company/sam/MS and the board and Sam gets most of what he wants, that'd be a likely NO - but if the board gets a significant part or all of what it wants, that'd be a likely YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2024?
99% chance
Will the OpenAI board fire Sam Altman again in 2024?
3% chance
Will OpenAI's structure change?
47% chance
Will Microsoft have a voting seat on the OpenAI board before the end of 2024?
13% chance
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?
70% chance
Will the OpenAI board have at least 9 members at the end of 2024?
96% chance
Will OpenAI have any women on the board by the end of 2024?
94% chance
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI on January 1st 2025?
96% chance
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2027?
35% chance
Will OpenAI remain independent by EOY 2024?
91% chance