This market is part of series of predictions made by Matthew Yglesias. Please check the group to bet on them all.
Matthew Yglesias is a liberal American blogger and journalist who writes about economics and politics. He publishes the Substack newsletter Slow Boring.
Recently he made many predictions on international affairs, published on
https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-predictions-for-2023:
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Is this market about the vote in Parliament, about Presidential assent, or about the deposit of instruments of ratification? For the actual process, it is the deposit that counts, and some countries have taken nearly two months between the parliamentary vote and the actual ratification.
@BrunoParga I don't know how Matt will count it - looks like the last process of it counts - deposit, right?
@Lorxus
"Asked about opposition from Budapest, Mr Stoltenberg said that "Hungary has made it clear that they will not be the last to ratify".
@SemioticRivalry Ah, yes, I'm sure Orban would never lie about anything ever. Such a trustworthy guy.
@Lorxus My model of world leaders doesn't include them making obviously verifiable lies to other world leaders in back-room negotiations for no reason. Besides, Orban approved Finland's accession.
Hungary Backs Sweden’s NATO Accession, Foreign Minister Says
"Hungary supports Sweden’s NATO accession and it remains a purely “technical matter” to close the lengthy ratification process in the parliament in Budapest, Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto said Tuesday."
mfs really be out here betting with the world's most boringly wrong man instead of paying heed to my beautiful map
https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-sweden-join-nato-by-the-end-of#EPtk0FmbjlsIhsIy62wE