
If in April 2023 (ET timezone), at least one 30min Coingecko candle hits a high $40,000 or more, this will resolve YES

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@MarcusAbramovitch It already is past 25k, what do you mean? I would give bitcoin a 50% chance of ever hitting 45k again based on its daily standard deviation over three years.
@MarcusAbramovitch the big divergence in our "estimates" is capitalism will collapse entirely in three years and not exist at all.
@MarcusAbramovitch I already threw everything into my (winning) bet with BTE so I can't put everything in, but I can put all my extra funds in for a year. Make a market.
@MarcusAbramovitch those odds aren't good enough for me at 1:1 odds, I think 45k is the max it would go. Two years is also a long time. Hitting 45k in six months, definitely I would bet against.
@MarcusAbramovitch I said it wouldn't pass 45k in 3 years, and it could happen fast, it could be anytime in about 6 months in those years. Then it will be utterly destroyed after.
@MarcusAbramovitch I would gladly bet you problem is I have my own investments that are doing better than that, it's all opportunity cost for me.
@MarcusAbramovitch Check out Mark Ingraham’s profile on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-ingraham-57120888